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TMCNet:  INFINERA CORP - 10-Q - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

[May 07, 2012]

INFINERA CORP - 10-Q - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

(Edgar Glimpses Via Acquire Media NewsEdge) This quarterly report on Form 10-Q contains "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties, as well as assumptions that, if they never materialize or prove incorrect, could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements include any expectation of earnings, revenues, gross margins, expenses or other financial items; any statements of the plans, strategies and objectives of management for future operations and personnel; factors that may affect our operating results; statements concerning new products or services, including future PIC capacity and new product delivery dates; statements related to capital expenditures; statements related to future economic conditions, performance, market growth or our sales cycle; statements related to the liquidity of our auction rate securities; statements related to the effects of litigation on our financial position, results of operations, or cash flows; statements as to industry trends and other matters that do not relate strictly to historical facts or statements of assumptions underlying any of the foregoing. These statements are often identified by the use of words such as "anticipate," "believe," "continue," "could," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," or "will," and similar expressions or variations. These statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of our management based on information currently available to management. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results and the timing of certain events to differ materially from future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those identified below, and those discussed in the section titled "Risk Factors" included elsewhere in this Form 10-Q and in our other SEC filings, including our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2011 filed on March 6, 2012. Such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this report. We disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of such statements. The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included elsewhere in this quarterly report on Form 10-Q.


Overview Infinera was founded in December 2000 with a unique vision for optical networking. Prior to Infinera, service provider optical networks were built from fairly commoditized products, broadly known as dense wavelength division multiplexing ("DWDM") systems. Recent growth in bandwidth demand has increased the need for the delivery of high-capacity low-cost bandwidth throughout the network. We believe that traditional point-to-point network architectures do not provide the required flexibility to meet this demand. It takes large amounts of low-cost bandwidth, pervasive Optical Transport Network ("OTN") switching, and the intelligence of bandwidth management to manage these larger networks and deliver high-capacity services quickly and cost-effectively. Infinera believes this can only be achieved with photonic integrated circuits ("PICs") and that only through photonic integration can network operators scale their network bandwidth without significant increases in space, power or operational workload.

We first introduced our Digital Optical Network architecture to the market in 2004. This architecture is based on our unique PICs and enables high-capacity low-cost bandwidth in the cloud and distributed switching throughout the network. Since 2004, our strategy has been to extend the benefits of our Digital Optical Network throughout the optical networking market. We have made significant enhancements to our Digital Transport Node System ("DTN platform") during this time by increasing reach and fiber capacity for the long-haul market, adding the Infinera MTC, a 19-inch chassis option tailored for the metro core market, and adding a submarine version of the DTN platform for the Submarine Line Terminating Equipment market. In addition, we introduced our ATN metro access platform ("ATN platform"), extending Infinera's digital bandwidth management and intelligent network benefits to the network edge. Finally, in order to meet the growing bandwidth demands of our customers, we introduced our 40 Gigabits per second ("Gbps") non-PIC based solution in late 2011 and launched our DTN-X 100 Gbps PIC-based platform, which we anticipate will be available in the second quarter of 2012. The DTN, DTN-X and ATN platforms are designed to operate as a tightly-integrated network with a single management system providing an end-to-end Digital Optical Network experience.

Traffic patterns in the optical network continue to grow to accommodate increased bandwidth demand from video, mobility and cloud computing. The market is seeing growing demand for increased fiber capacity with networks migrating from the current 10 Gbps wavelength solutions to 40 Gbps solutions in the short-term and 100 Gbps solutions in the longer-term. Infinera launched the DTN-X platform, a 100 Gbps PIC-based solution, in September 2011, with expected volume production in 2012. The DTN-X platform will incorporate our 500 Gbps PICs and our 5 Terabit OTN switch and will combine competitive fiber capacity with the unique features of the Digital Optical Network. We continue to position our DTN platform and associated benefits of the Digital Optical Network into the smaller backbone and metro core networks needing lower capacity 10 Gbps and 40 Gbps wavelengths. Our ATN platform is a metro access solution that extends Infinera's digital bandwidth management and intelligent software operating system benefits to the network edge.

Our goal is to be a leading provider of optical networking systems to communications service providers, internet content providers, cable operators, subsea network operators, and others. Our revenue growth will depend on the continued acceptance of our products, growth of communications traffic and the proliferation of next-generation bandwidth-intensive services, which are expected to drive the need for increased levels of bandwidth. Our ability to increase revenue and achieve profitability will be directly affected by the level of acceptance of our products in the long-haul and metro DWDM markets and by our ability to cost-effectively develop and sell innovative products that leverage our technology advantages on a time-to-market basis.

22-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents As of March 31, 2012, we have sold our network systems for deployment in the optical networks of 102 customers worldwide, including Colt, Cox Communications, Deutsche Telekom, Equinix, Inc., Interoute, KVH, TeliaSonera, Level 3, NTT, OTE, Pacnet and XO Communications. We currently have 33 ATN customers enjoying the benefits of an ATN platform and 28 of those have deployed an integrated ATN-DTN solution. We do not have long-term sales commitments from our customers. To date, a few of our customers have accounted for a significant portion of our revenue. One customer accounted for over 10% of our revenue in each of the three months ended March 31, 2012 and March 26, 2011. Our business will be harmed if any of our key customers do not generate as much revenue as we forecast, stop purchasing from us, or substantially reduce their orders to us.

We are headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, with employees located throughout the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific region. We expect to continue to add personnel in the United States and internationally to develop our products and provide additional geographic sales and technical support coverage. We primarily sell our products through our direct sales force, with a small portion sold indirectly through resellers. We derived 97% and 96% of our revenue from direct sales to customers for March 31, 2012 and March 26, 2011, respectively. We expect to continue generating a substantial majority of our revenue from direct sales in the future.

Our near-term year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter revenue will likely be volatile and may be impacted by several factors including general economic and market conditions, time-to-market development of new products, acquisitions of new customers and the timing of large product deployments.

We will continue to make significant investments in the business, and management currently believes that operating expenses for 2012 will range from $255 million to $265 million, including stock-based compensation expense of approximately $40 million to $45 million.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is based upon our condensed consolidated financial statements, which we have prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The preparation of these financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenue and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. Management bases its estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that it believes to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.

An accounting policy is deemed to be critical if it requires an accounting estimate to be made based on assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain at the time the estimate is made, if different estimates reasonably could have been used, or if changes in the estimate that are reasonably likely to occur could materially impact the financial statements. Management believes that there have been no significant changes during the three months ended March 31, 2012 to the items that we disclosed as our critical accounting policies and estimates in Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2011.

23 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Results of Operations The following sets forth, for the periods presented, certain unaudited condensed consolidated statements of operations information (in thousands, except %): Three Months Ended March 31, % of total March 26, % of total 2012 revenue 2011 revenue Revenue: Product $ 92,391 88 % $ 82,528 89 % Ratable product and related support and services 531 1 % 922 1 % Services 11,779 11 % 9,440 10 % Total revenue $ 104,701 100 % $ 92,890 100 % Cost of revenue: Product $ 59,324 57 % $ 46,618 50 % Ratable product and related support and services 191 - % 385 1 % Services 4,759 4 % 3,143 3 % Total cost of revenue $ 64,274 61 % $ 50,146 54 % Gross profit $ 40,427 39 % $ 42,744 46 % The following table summarizes our revenue by geography and sales channel for the periods presented (in thousands, except %): Three Months Ended March 31, March 26, 2012 2011 Total revenue by geography Domestic $ 70,898 $ 68,826 International 33,803 24,064 $ 104,701 $ 92,890 % Revenue by geography Domestic 68 % 74 % International 32 % 26 % 100 % 100 % Total revenue by sales channel Direct $ 101,843 $ 88,814 Indirect 2,858 4,076 $ 104,701 $ 92,890 % Revenue by sales channel Direct 97 % 96 % Indirect 3 % 4 % 100 % 100 % 24 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Revenue Total revenue increased to $104.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2012 from $92.9 million for the corresponding period in 2011. Revenues in the first quarter of 2011 were negatively impacted by our inability to offer higher capacity solutions to satisfy customer demand prior to the release of our 40 Gbps and 100 Gbps products.

International revenue increased to 32% of total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2012 from 26% of total revenue in the corresponding period in 2011. This increase was primarily due to increased investment in sales resources in Europe resulting in higher revenue for the region. While we expect international revenues to continue to grow in absolute dollars on a long-term basis as we increase our sales activities in Europe, Asia Pacific and other regions, this metric may fluctuate as a percentage of total revenue depending on the size and timing of deployments both internationally and in the United States.

Total product revenue increased to $92.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2012 from $82.5 million for the corresponding period in 2011. Product and related support services revenue that is recognized ratably includes sales of products and services that were deferred under previous accounting standards, prior to our adoption of ASU 2009-13 and ASU 2009-14 as further discussed in Note 2, "Significant Accounting Policies," to the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed on March 6, 2012, because vendor specific objective evidence of fair value had not been established for the undelivered elements. Total ratable revenue levels decreased to $0.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2012 from $0.9 million for the corresponding period in 2011. These decreases were due to an overall reduction in sales of products and services that were deferred following our adoption of ASU 2009-13 and ASU 2009-14.

Total services revenue increased to $11.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2012 from $9.4 million for the corresponding period in 2011 primarily reflecting the incremental recognition of $1.6 million in deployment services revenue and $1.2 in hardware warranty and spares management related services, offset by a decrease of $0.4 million in software subscription revenue. As our installed customer base grows, we expect to continue to grow our extended hardware warranty and spares management services revenues in future periods.

We anticipate commencing shipments of our DTN-X platform in the second quarter of 2012 but we do not expect to recognize revenues on these shipments until the second half of the year. We believe this may result in lower revenues in the second quarter of 2012, however, we expect revenues in the second half of the year to recover as customers deploy the DTN-X in their networks.

Cost of Revenue and Gross Margin Gross margin decreased to 39% in the three months ended March 31, 2012 from 46% in the corresponding period in 2011. This decrease was primarily due to continued price declines in response to competitive pressure and the inclusion of costs associated with ramping production of the DTN-X product in advance of shipment.

We do not have the visibility necessary to accurately predict quarterly gross margins beyond a one-quarter time horizon. However, based on our current outlook, we expect gross margins for the remainder of 2012 to continue to be negatively impacted by the inclusion of ongoing costs associated with ramping of production and the initial sales of our DTN-X product. We believe that our cost structure beyond 2012 will improve as we achieve increased volume and scale for the DTN-X platform.

Operating Expenses The following tables summarize our operating expenses for the periods presented (in thousands, except %): Three Months Ended March 31, % of total March 26, % of total 2012 revenue 2011 revenue Operating expenses: Research and development $ 30,986 30 % $ 31,309 34 % Sales and marketing 18,241 17 % 13,935 15 % General and administrative 11,084 11 % 13,509 14 % Total operating expenses $ 60,311 58 % $ 58,753 63 % 25 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents The following table summarizes the stock-based compensation expense included in our operating expenses (in thousands): Three Months Ended March 31, March 26, 2012 2011 Research and development $ 3,320 $ 3,826 Sales and marketing 2,219 2,060 General and administration 2,223 4,783 Total $ 7,762 $ 10,669 Research and Development Expenses Research and development expenses decreased by $0.3 million in the three months ended March 31, 2012 compared to the corresponding period in 2011 primarily due to lower personnel related costs of $1.8 million comprised of $1.3 million of cash compensation and $0.5 million of stock-based compensation expense. These decreases were partially offset by increases in depreciation of $0.7 million, professional and outside services costs of $0.5 million and facilities and other costs of $0.5 million.

Sales and Marketing Expenses Sales and marketing expenses increased by $4.3 million in the three months ended March 31, 2012 compared to the corresponding period in 2011 primarily due to $3.0 million in compensation and personnel-related expenses, increased expenses for customer lab trials of $0.7 million, increased travel and related expenses of $0.4 million, and increase in facilities and other costs of $0.2 million.

General and Administrative Expenses General and administrative expenses decreased by $2.4 million in the three months ended March 31, 2012 compared to the corresponding period in 2011 primarily due to decreased stock-based compensation expense of $2.6 million and lower costs related to facilities and other costs of $0.6 million. These decreases were partially offset by increased compensation and personnel-related expenses of $0.5 million and increased professional services costs of $0.3 million.

Other Income (Expense), Net Three Months Ended March 31, March 26, 2012 2011 (In thousands) Interest income $ 275 $ 312 Other gain (loss), net (424 ) (411 ) Total income (expense), net $ (149 ) $ (99 ) Interest income decreased by an insignificant amount in the first quarter of 2012, compared to the corresponding period in 2011. The decrease was mainly due to lower total investments.

Other gain (loss), net for the first quarter of 2012 included a loss of $0.4 million of realized and unrealized foreign currency transactions. Other gain (loss), net for the first quarter of 2011 included a loss of $0.5 million of realized and unrealized foreign currency transactions and a gain of $0.1 million related to sale of assets.

Income Tax Provision (Benefit) Provision for income taxes for the three months ended March 31, 2012 was $0.6 million, or negative 2.9% on a pre-tax loss of $20.0 million, compared to a tax provision of $0.3 million, or negative 1.8%, on a pre-tax loss of $16.1 million for the three months ended March 31, 2011. The difference between our effective tax rates and the federal statutory rate of 35% is primarily attributable to unbenefited U.S. losses, foreign taxes provided on the income of our foreign subsidiaries, non-deductible stock-based compensation expense, and various discrete items. The higher effective tax rate in 2012 relates to higher foreign income and associated taxes, the expiration of the Indian tax holiday on March 31, 2011, and the release of $0.2 million of tax reserves in 2011 due to statute of limitations lapses.

26-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents The realization of tax benefits of deferred tax assets is dependent upon future levels of taxable income, of an appropriate character, in the periods the items are scheduled to be deductible or taxable. Based on the available objective evidence, management believes it is more likely than not that the domestic net deferred tax assets will not be realizable. Accordingly, we have provided a full valuation allowance against its domestic deferred tax assets, net of deferred tax liabilities, as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011. In determining future taxable income, we make assumptions to forecast federal, state and international operating income, the reversal of temporary differences, and the implementation of any feasible and prudent tax planning strategies. The assumptions require significant judgment regarding the forecasts of future taxable income and are consistent with our forecasts used to manage our business. We intend to maintain the remaining valuation allowance until sufficient positive evidence exists to support a reversal of, or decrease, in the valuation allowance.

Liquidity and Capital Resources Three Months Ended March 31, March 26, 2012 2011 (In thousands) Net cash flow provided by (used in): Operating activities $ (5,757 ) $ (854 ) Investing activities $ 1,529 $ (6,453 ) Financing activities $ 6,173 $ 4,822 March 31, December 31, 2012 2011 (In thousands) Cash and cash equivalents $ 96,709 $ 94,458 Short-term and long-term investments 139,841 155,611 Short-term and long-term restricted cash 3,254 3,047 $ 239,804 $ 253,116 Cash, cash equivalents, short-term and long-term investments and short-term and long-term restricted cash consist of highly-liquid investments in certificates of deposits, money market funds, commercial paper, corporate bonds, U.S. agency notes and U.S. treasuries. As of March 31, 2012, long-term investments include $8.1 million (par value) of available-for-sale auction rate securities ("ARS").

The restricted cash balance amounts are pledged as collateral for certain stand-by and commercial letters of credit.

Operating Activities Net cash used in operating activities for the first quarter of 2012 was $5.8 million as compared to $0.9 million for the corresponding period in 2011. Cash flow from operating activities consists of net income (loss), adjusted for non-cash charges, plus or minus working capital changes. Our working capital requirements can fluctuate significantly depending on the timing of deployments and the acceptance, billing and payment terms on those deployments.

Additionally, our ability to manage inventory turns and our ability to negotiate favorable payment terms with our vendors may also impact our working capital requirements.

Net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2012 was $20.6 million, which included non-cash charges of $15.5 million, compared to a net loss of $16.4 million in the corresponding period in 2011, including non-cash charges of $17.4 million.

Net cash used to fund working capital was $0.6 million for the first quarter of 2012. Inventory increased by $12.1 million primarily due to increased levels of DTN-X inventory in advance of shipments and increased levels of DTN inventory previously committed to the supply chain. Accounts payable decreased by $7.3 million due to the timing of purchases and payments of purchases during the period. Accrued liabilities decreased by $1.0 million primarily due to reduced levels of compensation and commission related accruals. These were partially offset by decreased receivables of $15.6 million primarily driven by better linearity of invoicing and collections activities in the period.

Net cash used to fund working capital was $1.8 million for the first quarter of 2011. Accrued liabilities decreased by $15.5 million primarily due to reduced levels of compensation and commission related accruals. Accounts payable decreased $8.8 million due to lower inventory receipts during the period. This was partially offset by a decrease in receivables of $18.9 million primarily driven by lower level of sales in the quarter and the collection of prior quarter receivables. Inventory decreased by $4.0 million primarily due to lower levels of inventory at customer sites awaiting customer acceptance.

27-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Investing Activities Net cash provided by investing activities in the first quarter of 2012 was $1.5 million compared to net cash used of $6.5 million in the corresponding period of 2011. Investing activities for the first quarter of 2012 included net proceeds of $15.3 million from purchases, maturities, calls and sales of investments in the period partially offset by $13.6 million of capital expenditures. Investing activities for the first quarter of 2011 included $10.6 million of capital expenditures and a $1.5 million advance to secure manufacturing capacity partially offset by net proceeds of $5.4 million from purchases, maturities, calls and sales of investments in the period.

Financing Activities Net proceeds from financing activities in the first quarter of 2012 and 2011 were $6.2 million and $4.8 million, respectively, primarily related to proceeds from the issuance of common stock under our stock-based compensation plans. This was offset by $0.8 million related to the repurchase of shares from employees to satisfy minimum tax withholdings in the three months ended March 31, 2012.

Liquidity As of March 31, 2012, we held $8.1 million (par value) with a fair value of $7.6 million of available-for-sale ARS with two issuers. Of these ARS, $5.0 million (par value) was AAA rated and $3.1 million (par value) was A3 rated. These ARS have contractual maturity terms of up to 34 years and it is not clear when we will be able to liquidate these investments. In 2009, we determined that the present value of the expected cash flows for these securities was below their par value, and recorded an initial other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI") of $2.7 million, equal to the difference between the fair value and the par value had occurred. During the three months ended March 2012, $0.2 million of these ARS were called at par value.

Failed auctions resulted in a lack of liquidity in the ARS but do not affect the underlying collateral of the securities. We do not anticipate that any potential lack of liquidity in our ARS, even for an extended period of time, will affect our ability to finance our operations, including our continued investments in research and development and planned capital expenditures. We continue to monitor efforts by the financial markets to find alternative means for restoring the liquidity of these investments. Our ARS investments are classified as non-current assets until we have better visibility as to when their liquidity will be restored.

For 2012, capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of approximately $35 million to $40 million, primarily for product development. In addition, we may experience an increase in working capital requirements as we prepare for volume shipment of our DTN-X platform and manufacturing expansion related to new products.

We believe that our current cash and cash equivalents and investments will be sufficient to meet our anticipated cash needs for working capital and capital expenditures for at least the next 12 months. If these sources of cash are insufficient to satisfy our liquidity requirements beyond 12 months, we may require additional capital from equity or debt financings to fund our operations, to respond to competitive pressures or strategic opportunities, or otherwise. We may not be able to secure timely additional financing on favorable terms, or at all. The terms of any additional financing may place limits on our financial and operating flexibility. If we raise additional funds through further issuances of equity, convertible debt securities or other securities convertible into equity, our existing stockholders could suffer dilution in their percentage ownership of us, and any new securities we issue could have rights, preferences and privileges senior to those of holders of our common stock.

28 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements As of March 31, 2012, we did not have any relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, such as entities often referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities, which would have been established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements or other contractually narrow or limited purposes.

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